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Community For Better Health Care
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In the News...
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Lean is
Invading Health Care by James P. Womack
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How do we judge the progress of
the Lean Movement? One critical indicator is our success in extending
lean thinking to new industries and activities. In recent years, I have
been greatly encouraged that lean thinking is moving far beyond its
origins in manufacturing to distribution, retailing, maintenance and
overhaul, consumer services, construction, and – perhaps most
striking - healthcare. Indeed, the latter may be the most
energetic area of lean practice today.
However, I have been concerned
about our prospects for changing the thinking of investors, and
specifically the giant private-equity investment firms that now control
large parts of the economy. While we have gained a strong foothold in
financial services, this has been at the operating level. Most efforts
to date have focused on how value streams within financial firms can be
made lean -- for example, those for processing loans or making credit
checks. This is important work but it is on a different level from how
financial firms think about investments and specifically how they might
instigate lean transformations in the firms they control in many
industries.
I was therefore delighted
recently when I was contacted by one of the largest private-equity
firms, an organization with dozens of firms in its investment portfolio
garnering perhaps 100 billion dollars in total sales. This type of firm
pools private investment funds to buy companies, in hopes of quick
"turnarounds" with re-sale of these firms at much higher
prices.
The partner contacting me noted
that conditions in this industry have changed with the credit crisis
and weak equities markets. Instead of selling firms after two or three
years it may be necessary to hold onto them for a long time, even a
decade, before they can be sold to advantage. His question was a simple
one: "Given that we may now need to hold firms for many years, how
can we take the long view. Indeed, how can we turn firms into the 'Toyota'
of their industries in order to maximize their price when they are
sold?"
I was delighted to engage in
this conversation. But to avoid any misunderstanding I needed to start
by comparing a traditional private equity "turnaround" with a
"lean transformation". In the former, the objective to this
point has been to go quickly to produce a dramatic bottom-line result.
This has often meant:
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"Rolling up" two
or more companies in the same industry to reduce competition and
increase prices to consumers.
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Negotiating lower wages and
benefits.
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Cutting spending on long-term
development projects not critical to the firm's strategic plan.
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Reducing headcounts in
activities judged non-essential.
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Restructuring the balance sheet
to add bank debt, often creating instant dividends for the private
equity firm but high levels of long-term debt for the firm once it is
sold.
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Re-negotiating prices with
suppliers, on threat of loss of business.
These actions quickly shift
wealth from customers, employees, suppliers, and former owners to the
new owners. This may do more good than harm, because otherwise the firm
in question may completely fail. But it is often unclear that any
additional value has been created in the sense of better satisfying
customer needs with a given amount of human effort and capital
investment. And, from society's standpoint, the only way to increase
living standards is to change the ratio of human effort and capital
going into firms to the amount of value coming out. Otherwise the
outcome is basically zero- sum, with some winners and some losers.
By contrast, the objective of a
lean transformation is to analyze the core value creating processes of
organizations in light of customer needs (which may have changed), then
figure out how to create more value with the same resources so the
organizations can grow and society can prosper. It's the difference
between shifting wealth from one party to another and creating more
value, ideally value that can be shared with customers, employees,
suppliers and owners. (Note that I never use the term "adding
value" because this is an accounting convention for the difference
between the input costs of a firm and its output prices. Often I find
that only cost is added by the firm as inputs are converted to outputs,
not value from the customer's standpoint.)
I was relieved that after a
frank discussion of the differences between traditional and
"lean" private equity, the firm in question was still
interested in pursuing lean. Indeed, this firm has now launched a wide
range of experiments to "lean" the processes of its portfolio
firms, and other private equity firms are now following its lead. It is
far too soon to know how much progress will be made along this new
path. But I'm heartened that an industry I feared I would never hear
from is now actually listening.
As I always tell audiences,
managers (and owners) will try anything that is quick and easy even if
it doesn't work (e.g. many of the traditional methods of private equity
in the current environment) before they try anything long and hard that
does work (e.g. intense process analysis linked to customer needs to
create more value from the same resources.) So perhaps the massive
private-equity industry, by virtue of the recent shifts in the global
economy, is now ready to tackle long, hard things which do work.
James P. Womack
Founder and Chairman
Lean Enterprise Institute
P.S. As I travel to visit
companies and make presentations on lean thinking, I am bemused by the
perception that LEI is a private consulting firm. While our faculty
members and authors make most of their living in independent consulting
businesses, LEI itself is a non-profit organization with no owners and
no consulting contracts. We are chartered to teach courses, hold
management seminars, write and publish books and workbooks, and
organize public and private conferences. We use the surplus revenues
from these activities to conduct research projects and to support other
lean initiatives such as the Lean Education Academic Network (www.teachinglean.org)
and the Lean Global Network (www.leanglobal.org). Our activities
are a continuation of the educational work I did for many years at MIT,
directly across the street from our LEI office in Cambridge, MA.
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Previous
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A Modern Bugbear, HIV
Transmission, The Economist, April 10th 2008
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Using the law to
contain infections may do more harm than good.
AT FIRST blush the
bigwigs at the Health Protection Agency, which monitors diseases, could
have told a rosier story. On March 28th they reported that
sexual-health clinics diagnosed 8% fewer HIV infections last year than
in 2006. But Britain's epidemic is not fading, they insisted. New
infections among gay men and straight people are close to all-time
highs; falling infections among heterosexuals who caught the virus in
Africa account for almost all of the decline (see chart).
There are more ominous
trends than these. Britons' understanding of the risks has gradually
worsened over the past decade or so. In January a poll by Ipsos MORI
found that more than two out of five Londoners do not know that sex
between men carries a chance of transmitting HIV. Lately, says Yusef
Azad of the National AIDS Trust, a charity, the proportion of gay men
having unprotected sex who give blood for a syphilis test but refuse to
do so for a HIV test has gone up.
Is this complacency or
dread? Mr Azad worries that some gay men may shirk free HIV checks
because they fear a positive result could incriminate them in future.
Since 2001, 13 people in Britain have been convicted of reckless
grievous bodily harm (reckless injury in Scotland) for spreading HIV to
their partners. Because recklessness involves taking a known risk,
eschewing knowledge of the danger probably averts a court case.
Doctors and campaigning
groups such as the National AIDS Trust say that the legal system
creates muddled disincentives for public health. One man without a
biochemical diagnosis of his status has been convicted after he ignored
advice from a clinician and his South African wife that he should get
one. But because a court in Liverpool also found him guilty of bigamy
and fraud, with all the charges bundled together, his case provides an
iffy precedent, if one at all.
The World Health
Organisation has branded British police tactics
"objectionable" and bemoaned the courts' feeble understanding
of virology. Until 2006 prosecutors bedazzled defendants into pleading
guilty by waving lab reports of the genetic similarities between the
virus in their blood and in their accuser's. Yet such data cannot rule
out other possibilities, for example that the accuser really infected
the accused or a third party infected both. Sarah Porter, one
"AIDS assassin", as the tabloid press often brands those
found guilty, may have been wrongly convicted, reckons Matthew Weait, a
law lecturer who has written a book on the criminalisation of HIV
transmission.
Chaos might be expected
given that the law employed in such cases was written before doctors
fully grasped that germs caused contagious diseases. It is also why the
Crown Prosecution Service recently provided formal guidance. A policy
statement published on March 14th makes clear that genetic data will
always form part but never the entirety of case evidence. Moot points
remain, such as whether someone who does not tell a partner about
having HIV and transmits the virus when a condom splits is reckless.
Using the law to punish
reckless disease-transmission runs the danger of doing more harm than
good. Tellingly, HIV is the only bug ever to have prompted a criminal
conviction in England and Wales. And the sentences so far meted out
have been more than twice as long as those for the violent whacking and
clobbering involved in other grievous-bodily-harm crimes. Yet living
with HIV in Britain is less dangerous than living with hepatitis C,
another sexually transmitted virus.
www.economist.com/world/britain/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11024358
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Past
Issue: (current
issue) (previous
issue)
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Flu Economy -The
Business Side of the Health Equation
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Flu Economy Takes Unexpected Turn
The Illness's Unusual
Course This Year Has Mixed Results For Health-Care Companies,
By THEO FRANCIS and ELLEN BYRON, WSJ,
April 3, 2008
The surprising course
of the latest flu season -- one of the most unpredictable in years --
has been a headache for companies from tissue makers to hospital
owners.
In recent seasons, the
flu has generally hit hard in December and peaked in February before
petering out in March. But this year it followed a different pattern,
getting off to a tamer start than usual and then roaring back in late
February with the strongest surge in years. One reason: Vaccine
planners failed to accurately predict the strains of the virus that
would emerge this winter, making the flu shots most people got less
effective than usual.
This has created a
scramble at companies that count on Americans to sniffle and sneeze. Kimberly-Clark
Corp., maker of Kleenex, blamed the cold-and-flu season's initial
weakness for a 12% reduction in facial-tissue shipments in the quarter
ended Dec. 31, compared with a year earlier.
In January, Walgreen
Co. CEO Jeffrey Rein told a shareholder gathering that December marked
the first time in his 25-year career at the company that cough- and
cold-medicine sales fell during the month. If attendees of the meeting
needed to cough, he joked, they should leave the room and "go to a
movie theater or on a bus" to spread their germs. "We're
really hoping for a very strong flu season," Mr. Rein told the
crowd, according to a transcript of his presentation.
Procter & Gamble
Co. said on a conference call in January that quarterly sales of its
Vicks cold medicine had been weak. "Unfortunately, people have not
been getting sick at a rate that we would all like yet," P&G
CEO A.G. Lafley said on the call, with a chuckle.
Of course, each year,
influenza, with its chills, aches and fever, takes a serious toll,
killing about 36,000 Americans and hospitalizing more than 200,000; one
government study pegs lost earnings at $16.3 billion a year. For most
people, the flu season means having to get through a couple of days of
fever, achiness and coughing. Americans bought $4.1 billion worth of
cold, flu and allergy remedies last year, according to market-research
firm Mintel International.
However, the flu
economy encompasses more than just the makers and sellers of cold
medicines. Even car insurers can get a financial boost when more
drivers get the flu, because at least some stay off the roads. . .
The surge in flu cases
that began in February probably saved HandClens, a fledgling hand
sanitizer made by Woodward Laboratories Inc., of Aliso Viejo, Calif. It
won a big order from Costco Wholesale Corp. last year only to
see crowds of healthy shoppers ignore the product in January. "We
were absolutely in panic mode," says CEO Kenneth Gerenraich.
"We were borrowing from our credit line to pay the bills and keep
ourselves afloat."
As the flu flourished
in February, so did sales. "Now we're paying our bills, and the
checks are flowing in," Mr. Gerenraich says. "Business is
good."
Hospitals also rode the
roller coaster of this flu season. Sicker patients often bring higher
reimbursement from insurers or the government, and the flu can cause
pneumonia and other complications. "You have a strong flu season,
and the ancillary business is very profitable," David Dill, chief
financial officer of LifePoint Hospitals Inc., explained to
investors at a conference in January. If an elderly flu sufferer in
intensive care needs a tracheotomy, "that turns into higher acuity
business for us," he said. "Or, on the pediatric side, young
kids coming into the hospital, that's a nice margin for us, as
well."
LifePoint, a publicly
traded chain based in Brentwood, Tenn., with 49 hospitals in 18 states,
reported a 4.2% drop in year-over-year admissions in the fourth quarter
of last year, which analysts and the company said was in large part
because of the lack of flu cases. A LifePoint spokeswoman said
admissions rose as flu cases soared in February and again in late
March. . .
A confluence of factors
seem to have contributed to this year's flu season. The strains of flu
that have predominated in the U.S. in recent years are known as H1N1.
Health officials predicted last year that that trend would continue, so
pharmaceutical companies pumped out vaccines to target those strains.
But H3N2 strains proved more prevalent this year. To make matters
worse, H3N2 is a particularly nasty variety of the flu. . .
To read the entire
article, go to http://online.wsj.com/article_print/SB120719135290885495.html.
Write
to Theo
Francis at theo.francis@wsj.com1
and Ellen Byron at ellen.byron@wsj.com2
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